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AI disclosure requirements are among the most politically feasible forms of AI regulation, as they enjoy broad support across the political spectrum and align with consumer protection principles. California has already passed related legislation, and several other states have active proposals. The federal path is harder, but a patchwork of state laws reaching the 5-state threshold is plausible within the timeframe.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if federal legislation or legislation in at least 5 US states requiring AI chatbots and voice agents to identify themselves as non-human during customer service interactions is signed into law before January 1, 2028. The legislation must apply to commercial customer service contexts.
Source: State and federal legislative tracking databases
Expected resolution: January 15, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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