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Bipartisan concern about AI-generated deepfakes in elections has been building rapidly, with multiple bills introduced in both chambers. The 2024 election saw several high-profile deepfake incidents that galvanized public opinion. However, First Amendment concerns and tech industry lobbying create significant legislative obstacles. The probability has risen as the 2028 election approaches and urgency increases.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if a federal law specifically addressing deepfakes or AI-generated synthetic media in political advertising is signed by the President before January 1, 2028. The law must include enforcement mechanisms, not merely voluntary guidelines. Executive orders alone do not count.
Source: US Congress legislation tracker and presidential signing statements
Expected resolution: January 15, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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