Will prediction market total volume exceed $100 billion in 2027?

Polymarket alone processed approximately $9B in volume in 2024, driven almost entirely by the US presidential election. The 2028 election cycle will create another volume surge, and prediction markets are gaining mainstream legitimacy. Kalshi's CFTC-regulated model and new entrants are expanding the addressable market. However, $100B requires roughly 10x growth from the 2024 peak, which would need sustained non-election volume growth and significant market expansion. The 2027 pre-election year could drive substantial volume as a buildup year.

Last updated: Mar 2, 2026

Resolves YES if combined prediction market platform volume (Polymarket, Kalshi, and other regulated/decentralized platforms) exceeds $100 billion total for calendar year 2027, as reported by platform data or industry aggregators.

Source: Polymarket Analytics / Kalshi Reports / Industry Data Aggregators

Expected resolution: February 28, 2028