Search for prediction markets by title
Operation Epic Fury is primarily an air and naval campaign, which historically produces lower US casualties than ground operations. However, Iranian ballistic missile strikes on US bases in the Gulf have already caused casualties, and the ongoing threat to naval vessels from anti-ship missiles and mines is significant. The USS Eisenhower carrier group and supporting vessels are operating in range of Iranian shore-based missiles. The probability reflects the extended timeline and cumulative risk rather than any single catastrophic event.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if Department of Defense confirmed US military deaths (KIA + DOW) attributed to Operation Epic Fury and related Iran theater operations exceed 50 before July 1, 2026.
Source: Department of Defense / iCasualties.org
Expected resolution: July 1, 2026
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
No recent trades