Will NATO add a new member before 2028?

The most likely candidates are Ukraine, Georgia, and Bosnia-Herzegovina. Ukraine's membership path is complicated by the ongoing conflict — NATO has signaled support but no timeline. Georgia faces Russian opposition and internal political divisions. Bosnia-Herzegovina has been in NATO's Membership Action Plan since 2010. While political will for expansion is strong post-Russia invasion of Ukraine, the practical and diplomatic obstacles for each candidate remain substantial. A surprise candidate like Moldova is possible but unlikely.

Last updated: Mar 2, 2026

Resolves YES if any nation completes the NATO accession process and is formally admitted as a member before January 1, 2028. The accession instrument must be deposited with the US State Department.

Source: NATO Official Communications / US State Department

Expected resolution: January 15, 2028