Will a streaming service surpass 300 million subscribers before 2028?

Netflix, the leading contender, reported approximately 283 million subscribers in Q4 2024 and continues growing through password-sharing crackdowns and ad-tier expansion. At its current growth rate of roughly 20-30M new subscribers per year, reaching 300M by 2028 is plausible. Amazon Prime Video could also qualify if it reports subscriber numbers, given Prime's 200M+ global membership base. The market ultimately depends on whether Netflix's growth trajectory holds or decelerates as it matures.

Last updated: Mar 2, 2026

Resolves YES if any streaming service reports 300+ million global paid subscribers in an earnings report or official disclosure before January 1, 2028. Bundled subscribers (e.g., Amazon Prime members with Video access) count if the platform reports them as subscribers.

Source: Company Earnings Reports / SEC Filings

Expected resolution: January 15, 2028