Search for prediction markets by title
The United States has historically performed well at home Olympics, benefiting from crowd support and reduced travel fatigue. However, China has steadily closed the gold medal gap in recent games, finishing first in golds at Tokyo 2020. The home advantage gives the US a slight edge, but the margin is razor-thin against a determined Chinese program investing heavily in Olympic sports.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if the United States leads all nations in gold medals at the conclusion of the 2028 LA Olympics, as reported by the official IOC medal tally.
Source: International Olympic Committee (IOC) Official Medal Tally
Expected resolution: August 12, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
No recent trades