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The 2028 Senate map is relatively balanced, though the specific seats up for election will determine the competitive landscape. With the Senate currently closely divided, small shifts in a handful of swing states will be decisive. It is too early for meaningful structural analysis.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if Republicans hold a majority (or effective majority via VP tiebreaker) in the Senate when the 121st Congress convenes in January 2029.
Source: Official Senate records
Expected resolution: January 10, 2029
The 2028 Senate map will be clearer after redistricting data. Right now this is basically a coin flip.
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.