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Voter turnout has trended upward in recent cycles, with 2020 setting a record in absolute terms. Population growth provides a structural tailwind, but turnout rates depend heavily on candidate enthusiasm and perceived stakes. The 2028 cycle will likely feature high engagement given ongoing polarization, but exceeding the 2020 record is uncertain without a galvanizing issue.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if certified total votes cast in the 2028 presidential general election exceed 159.6 million (the 2020 record). Based on final certified results from all 50 states plus DC.
Source: US Election Assistance Commission certified results
Expected resolution: February 1, 2029
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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