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As the sitting Vice President, JD Vance is the strong frontrunner for the 2028 Republican nomination. Historical precedent heavily favors sitting VPs seeking the presidency, and Vance has continued to build his national profile and donor network. The primary uncertainty is whether internal party dynamics or an unexpected scandal could derail his candidacy.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if JD Vance files FEC paperwork as a presidential candidate or publicly announces a presidential campaign before the 2028 primary season. Exploratory committees alone do not count.
Source: Federal Election Commission filings
Expected resolution: December 31, 2027
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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