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Doping scandals have marred virtually every modern Olympics. The 2024 Paris Games saw continued fallout from Chinese swimmers' positive tests, and Russia's state-sponsored program remains a shadow over the sport. Improved testing methods, including dried blood spot testing and long-term sample storage, increase detection rates. Historically, retroactive disqualifications affect roughly 2-5% of medallists within two years. The base rate strongly suggests at least one incident.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if any medallist at the 2028 Olympics is stripped of their medal due to a doping violation detected during or within 6 months of the games, as confirmed by WADA or CAS.
Source: WADA / Court of Arbitration for Sport (CAS)
Expected resolution: February 28, 2029
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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