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Pennsylvania remains the quintessential swing state and has been decided by razor-thin margins in recent cycles. The state trended slightly Republican in 2024, but its diverse electorate across Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and rural areas makes it genuinely competitive. Economic conditions in the Rust Belt and candidate-specific appeal in suburban counties will be decisive.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if the Republican nominee carries Pennsylvania in the 2028 presidential election based on certified results. Recounts or legal challenges must be fully resolved.
Source: Pennsylvania Secretary of State certified election results
Expected resolution: December 15, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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