Will the Supreme Court expand Second Amendment rights before 2028?

The Bruen decision (2022) established a historical-text-and-tradition test that has thrown lower court gun regulations into chaos. Multiple challenges to assault weapons bans, magazine limits, and concealed carry restrictions are working through the circuit courts. The 6-3 conservative majority has shown a clear appetite for Second Amendment expansion, and at least one cert-worthy case is likely to reach the Court by 2027. The direction of the Court strongly favors further expansion.

Last updated: Mar 2, 2026

Resolves YES if the Supreme Court issues an opinion that strikes down a federal or state firearms restriction or expands the scope of Second Amendment protection beyond the Bruen framework before January 1, 2028.

Source: Supreme Court of the United States Opinions

Expected resolution: January 15, 2028