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The Supreme Court effectively overturned Chevron deference in Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo (2024), replacing it with independent judicial review. This market now hinges on whether the Court further entrenches this position in subsequent cases. Given the 6-3 conservative majority's clear hostility to administrative state deference, additional rulings limiting agency power are highly likely. The trajectory is firmly set.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if the Supreme Court issues an opinion that explicitly overrules Chevron v. Natural Resources Defense Council (1984) or narrows it to the point of effective elimination. Already partially resolved by Loper Bright (2024) — resolves YES if the court further entrenches or expands this ruling.
Source: Supreme Court of the United States Opinions
Expected resolution: July 1, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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