Will the US ban menthol cigarettes before 2028?

The FDA proposed a menthol cigarette ban in 2022 but has repeatedly delayed finalization under political pressure. The tobacco industry's lobbying power, combined with concerns about enforcement in Black communities (menthol cigarettes are disproportionately used by Black smokers), has created a political minefield. The current administration is unlikely to prioritize this fight, and the FDA has shown willingness to delay indefinitely. While public health advocates continue pushing, the political will for implementation remains insufficient.

Last updated: Mar 2, 2026

Resolves YES if a federal ban on menthol cigarettes takes effect in the US before January 1, 2028. Either FDA rulemaking or congressional legislation qualifies.

Source: FDA Federal Register / Congressional Record

Expected resolution: January 15, 2028