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Bolt's 9.58s has stood since 2009 and the current generation of sprinters has not come close to threatening it consistently. Noah Lyles' 9.79s was impressive but leaves a significant gap. The women's record from 1988 is even more durable. New super-spike technology and fast track surfaces at LA's refurbished stadium provide marginal tailwinds, but the probability remains below 50% based on historical record-setting frequency at Olympics.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if either the men's or women's 100m world record is broken during the 2028 Olympic competition (including heats, semis, and finals), as ratified by World Athletics.
Source: World Athletics Official Records
Expected resolution: August 5, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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