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Mojtaba Khamenei was widely regarded as his father's preferred successor and has deep connections within the IRGC intelligence apparatus. However, the Assembly of Experts succession process has never been tested under wartime conditions, and rival factions including IRGC hardliners backing Ebrahim Raisi's allies and pragmatists around Larijani are competing for influence. Dynastic succession is also deeply controversial within the clerical establishment, which views it as monarchical.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if the Assembly of Experts officially appoints Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader. Resolves NO if another individual is confirmed or if the Supreme Leader position is abolished.
Source: Iranian state media (IRNA) / Associated Press / Reuters
Expected resolution: March 1, 2027
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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