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The crypto market cap would need to approximately triple from current levels to reach $10 trillion. Bitcoin ETF inflows, institutional adoption, and the upcoming Bitcoin halving cycle support bull case scenarios, but regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic headwinds from the Iran conflict create significant risk. Crypto has historically been capable of such moves in bull markets, but also prone to severe corrections.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if either CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap reports a total crypto market cap exceeding $10.0 trillion at any point before January 1, 2028. Stablecoins are included in the total.
Source: CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap total market capitalization data
Expected resolution: January 15, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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