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Several major transit projects are nearing completion or in advanced construction. The Purple Line Extension in Los Angeles, the Second Avenue Subway Phase 2 in New York, and Sound Transit expansions in Seattle are all candidates. However, major transit projects consistently experience delays, and the "before 2028" deadline creates time pressure. The number of projects in the pipeline makes it statistically likely at least one completes on schedule, though any individual project's completion date is uncertain.
Last updated: Mar 2, 2026
Resolves YES if a new-construction rail line, subway extension, or dedicated BRT corridor exceeding 5 miles opens for revenue service in any US city before January 1, 2028.
Source: Federal Transit Administration (FTA) / Local Transit Authority Announcements
Expected resolution: January 15, 2028
Outcome tokens pay $1.00 if the outcome resolves YES.
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